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Bio Science Research Bulletin
Year : 2010, Volume : 26, Issue : 1
First page : ( 45) Last page : ( 55)
Print ISSN : 0970-0889. Online ISSN : 2320-3161.

A stochastic model with antigenic diversity threshold of hiv transmission using order statistics

Kannan R.*, Thirumurugan A.**, Sathiyamoorthi R., Malarvizhi G.1

Department of Statistics, Annamalai University, Annamalainagar-608 002

1Department of Mathematics, Eswari Engineering College, Ramapuram, Chennai-89, Tamilnadu, India

*E-mail: statkannan@yahoo.co.in

**E-mail: thirustat@gmail.com.

Online published on 26 February, 2013.

Abstract

This paper focuses on the study of a stochastic model for predicting the seroconversion time of HIV transmission using order statistics. In the estimation of expected time to seroconversion, there is an important role for the inter-arrival times between successive contacts and it has a significant influence. In this paper, it is assumed that the inter-arrival times between the contacts distributed as the smallest order statistics. The mean time to seroconversion and its variance are derived and numerical illustration is provided.

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Keywords

Acquired Immuno Deficiency Syndrome, Antigenic Diversity, Threshold, Cumulative Damage Process, Human Immuno Deficiency Virus, Infectivity, Seroconversion.

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